Feb 20, 2025

European delegates to security conference, reacting to a disturbing speech by U.S. Vice President JD Vance, say privately that it’s clear the continent must gradually break with the United States. The reduction of America’s strategic investment in Europe is accelerating Europe’s search for autonomy in an increasingly multipolar world.

Jan 30, 2025

To slow China’s economic and tech development, the new American administration may employ a combination tariffs, export controls and restrictions on Chinese access to international markets. It is also likely to continue its crackdown on Chinese tech companies.

Jan 03, 2025

Trump 2.0 is expected to be more mature than it was in Round 1. He will likely place greater emphasis on leadership and earning respect from other countries. If both sides commit to communication, managing differences and deepening cooperation, relations can find a new balance in a complex international environment.

Nov 18, 2024

China and the United States held their first governmental dialogue on artificial intelligence in May. But skepticism arose about its value because the U.S. continued to impose technological restrictions on China. Here are some suggestions for how to move forward toward greater understanding and mutual security.

Nov 18, 2024

Europe may be entering a quasi-competitive phase with the United States — no longer occupying the center of U.S. foreign policy. Rather, it will have to face Trump’s tendency to de-prioritize allies, which will likely add fuel to Europe’s drive toward strategic autonomy.

Sep 30, 2024

If both sides maintain a rational and pragmatic understanding of each other and continue on a path of patient, stable communication — looking for opportunities to close seemingly impossible gaps — then a positive outcome is still in the game.

Aug 08, 2024

An increasing focus by the military alliance on the so-called China challenge and a pivot to the Asia-Pacific could mean that China will face an increasingly difficult strategic environment. It is essential, therefore, to exercise caution so that tensions in avoidable areas do not escalate.

Jul 19, 2024

No matter who ultimately wins the election in November, only minor adjustments to competition with China at the tactical level are likely to occur. The competitive essence will not change. It’s a Cold War-style outcome that may make bilateral cooperation more difficult.

Jun 05, 2024

Expanding the dialogue to include a broader range of stakeholders would provide more diverse perspectives with regard to the risks and opportunities associated with artificial intelligence and, potentially, create new opportunities for innovation and experimentation.

Apr 26, 2024

While the United States has come through for its allies in Europe, Israel and Ukraine for now, there is reason for concern. Depending on who is elected U.S. president in November, securing further U.S. support could become increasingly difficult. If Donald Trump wins, there could be trouble ahead.