Jan 03, 2025

Trump 2.0 is expected to be more mature than it was in Round 1. He will likely place greater emphasis on leadership and earning respect from other countries. If both sides commit to communication, managing differences and deepening cooperation, relations can find a new balance in a complex international environment.

Nov 18, 2024

China and the United States held their first governmental dialogue on artificial intelligence in May. But skepticism arose about its value because the U.S. continued to impose technological restrictions on China. Here are some suggestions for how to move forward toward greater understanding and mutual security.

Nov 18, 2024

Europe may be entering a quasi-competitive phase with the United States — no longer occupying the center of U.S. foreign policy. Rather, it will have to face Trump’s tendency to de-prioritize allies, which will likely add fuel to Europe’s drive toward strategic autonomy.

Sep 30, 2024

If both sides maintain a rational and pragmatic understanding of each other and continue on a path of patient, stable communication — looking for opportunities to close seemingly impossible gaps — then a positive outcome is still in the game.

Aug 08, 2024

An increasing focus by the military alliance on the so-called China challenge and a pivot to the Asia-Pacific could mean that China will face an increasingly difficult strategic environment. It is essential, therefore, to exercise caution so that tensions in avoidable areas do not escalate.

Jul 19, 2024

No matter who ultimately wins the election in November, only minor adjustments to competition with China at the tactical level are likely to occur. The competitive essence will not change. It’s a Cold War-style outcome that may make bilateral cooperation more difficult.

Jun 05, 2024

Expanding the dialogue to include a broader range of stakeholders would provide more diverse perspectives with regard to the risks and opportunities associated with artificial intelligence and, potentially, create new opportunities for innovation and experimentation.

Apr 26, 2024

While the United States has come through for its allies in Europe, Israel and Ukraine for now, there is reason for concern. Depending on who is elected U.S. president in November, securing further U.S. support could become increasingly difficult. If Donald Trump wins, there could be trouble ahead.

Mar 27, 2024

Defining the relationship between China and the United States primarily as one of competition — as the U.S. is doing — is dangerous and not advisable. Competition can easily turn into conflict. The long-term U.S. posture on this will depend upon the outcome of the presidential election.

Feb 21, 2024

Attendees at the recent security conference could sense Europe’s anxiety about the future. The conference and its report reflected the current unsettled European mindset: Amid increasingly tense geopolitics and economic uncertainty, it sees movement away from global cooperation.