Three main problems must be addressed in advance to reduce risk: a possible accident arising from a military encounter, dangerous actions by the United States that touch China’s red lines and provocative rhetoric by members of the U.S. Congress.

By starting and sustaining a tech war against China, Washington has placed itself on the wrong side of history. Like its trade war, the battle in the high-technology sector will turn out to be difficult to win.

Twenty-seven top Chinese experts in international studies participated in discussions and surveys. Five major drivers, 10 major risk areas and several specific risk scenarios were identified.

The United States needs to stop undermining Chinese sovereignty. Plenty of reassuring words have appeared on paper over the past seven decades, but the U.S. has been two-faced. There is simply no reason for it to lean, secretly or openly, toward confrontation.

Kurt Campbell, coordinator for the Indo-Pacific region on the U.S. National Security Council, added some clarity recently on United States policy regarding the island. The Biden administration’s policy review appears to be finished, and it’s starting to take action.

More efforts are needed by China and the Philippines to relieve tensions over the presence of Chinese vessels. Variables such as a mutual defense treaty with the United States and the coming presidential election in the Philippines are possible inflection points.

U.S. core national interests are defined by the new administration as safeguarding American strength, promoting power sharing to U.S. advantage and upholding a stable and open international system.

A complete reassessment of Washington’s stance on territorial disputes in the East and South China Sea is long overdue. Implied obligations and strategic ambiguity only increases risks for all parties.

A recent court case in Hangzhou saw a landmark victory for data privacy and security in China. As facial recognition technology becomes more readily accessible, how will lawmakers across the world react?

For now and the foreseeable future, gaming will be intensified, making compromise difficult. It will likely remain peaceful and manageable on the whole, but uncertainties are growing.