Yi Xianrong, Researcher, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Feb 02, 2016
There is no need to worry about the slide in China’s GDP growth and its turbulent financial markets, because the market economy has taken root across the country — a market of 1.4 billion consumers. Pressures from regional setbacks can be absorbed by the greater national economy, as long as the government pursues its transition from a real estate-driven economy.
He Weiwen, Senior Fellow, Center for China and Globalization, CCG
Feb 01, 2016
China’s economy will continue to slide for some time in 2016, and the overall growth rate will be even lower than in 2015. However, the economy’s fundamental sectors portend a steady growth rate of 6.5-6.8%, depending on the progress of the reforms and restructuring, and on the developments of world economic situation. In any event, a major slump or “hard landing” seems out of the question.
Joseph E. Stiglitz, Professor, Columbia University
Jan 29, 2016
Too often the debate about China’s economy has been dominated by naive proposals for supply-side reform – accompanied by criticism of the demand-side measures adopted after the 2008 global financial crisis. Those measures were far from perfect; they had to be formulated on the fly, in the context of an unexpected emergency. But they were far better than nothing.
Stephen Roach, Senior Fellow, Yale University
Jan 27, 2016
The fears about the economic meltdown in China are overblown. The mismatch between progress in economic rebalancing and setbacks in financial reforms must ultimately be resolved as China transitions to new growth model. But it does not spell imminent crisis.
Yi Xianrong, Researcher, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Jan 27, 2016
Stabilizing the RMB exchange rate not only requires comprehensively striking back the short-selling speculation but, more importantly, reversing the expectation of RMB depreciation and well managing the expectation. Substituting a new exchange rate index for the old exchange rate index has not impressed the international market. The RMB exchange rate should be anchored to the USD exchange rate to build confidence.
Zhang Monan, Deputy Director of Institute of American and European Studies, CCIEE
Jan 20, 2016
As it acts upon the 13th Five Year Plan, Beijing must combine government fiscal investment, corporate R&D, industrial investment, venture capital, bank credit investment, capital market financing, science funding and more, to make a financial system with a full range of support to update China’s economy. An efficiently operating system will be key to the nation’s future competitiveness.
Walker Rowe, Publisher, Southern Pacific Review
Jan 14, 2016
Chinese mining companies in Ecuador and Peru recognize the social, environmental, and political issues which occur with significant development, and is giving back to the community by building bridges, roads, health clinics, sewers, and water systems.
Ben Reynolds, Writer and Foreign Policy Analyst in New York
Jan 08, 2016
Quantitative easing may in part explain the destabilizing effects that the global economy is facing, with cheap credit continuing to fueling the expectation of ever-rising prices. The 2015 Chinese crash was a direct product of the U.S. financial crisis of 2008, which was itself the result of a bubble in financial, insurance, and real estate assets.
Yi Xianrong, Researcher, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Jan 05, 2016
If China’s economic growth is still under a big downward pressure and China’s central bank further imposes an easy monetary policy, the RMB will go through an increasing pressure of depreciation. Therefore, the inclusion of China’s currency in the SDR basket would be a double-edge sword.
Sourabh Gupta, Senior Fellow, Institute for China-America Studies
Dec 31, 2015
The IMF’s decision to formally include the renminbi as one of five hard currencies in its SDR basket, and the half-decade or so of liberalizing reforms leading into it, is likely to be recorded by economic historians with the corresponding level of attention that is devoted to the establishment of the Federal Reserve System almost-exactly a century ago.