Contrary to recent forecasts by various international organizations, the author believes that China’s economy in 2024 will buck the trend and trace a new curve. Growth will reach upward toward 5 percent and beyond in 2025 as the country shakes off the lingering impact of COVID-19 and returns to an appropriate range.

The only way to ensure more robust and sustainable growth is creating new patterns and new productive forces. Following the San Francisco Vision, the governments and business communities of both China and the United States should lose no time getting on board.

While trying to protect domestic industries through government intervention, technological blockades and financial subsidies, Washington has lashed out at China’s “non-market policies,” which it claims are bad for domestic employment. Such rhetoric doesn’t help America’s international reputation.

Reflections on Lessons from Davos for US, China, India & Beyond– When the global order seems to be shifting faster than ever, the need for committed partnerships between established and developing powers should be seen as necessary.

The economy will stabilize and improve this year, and prudent monetary policy can bring reductions in the bank reserve ratio and interest rates. In the short term, the priority should be the expansion of domestic demand. In the longer term, innovation must drive high-quality development.

China is at a critical juncture. Its deflation-prone debt-intensive economy is seriously underperforming. Its government has become embroiled in a major superpower conflict with the United States. And it is staring down the barrel of a demographic crisis. Worst of all, Chinese authorities are responding to these challenges more with ideology and stale tactics from the past, rather than with breakthrough reforms. Imaginative solutions to tough problems are in scarce supply.

In 2024, China and the United States should seek an approach that is at once global and bilateral and addresses problems at the governmental working level and at the business level. With joint efforts, bilateral trade will start to grow again.

Western hedge funds, banks and short sellers are targeting China, Hong Kong, and South Korea. As geopolitics is proliferating in Asia, weaponization is spreading to markets.

China’s slowing economy has fueled a broad range of takes on why Asia’s dominant power is losing its growth trajectory. Whatever the real reason is, China’s regulatory crackdowns seem to be digging a deeper hole to fall into.

The narrative that China’s economy is nearing its peak – or has already reached it – has taken hold in Western media. But if you read the doomsayers’ analyses carefully, you will find that many of the reasons they give for their bleak assessments are not new. On the contrary, they tend to highlight precisely the same challenges that economists and commentators have been harping on for at least a decade or longer. If China was not sputtering then, why should we believe it is now?