Zhang Monan, Deputy Director of Institute of American and European Studies, CCIEE
Mar 09, 2015
China’s selectiveness of foreign investment reflects its restructuring economy, one that invests less in capital and labor intensive industries to investments in human resources and technological innovation. Some far-sighted multinational companies are actively making use of the new rules, seizing the opportunity of China’s structural transformation and beginning to make active arrangements in the strategic newly emerging industries and the high-end service industry.
Feng Zhaokui, Honorary Academician, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Mar 02, 2015
Discussion of whether or not China will lead the world through a “third industrial revolution” ignores the China’s excess supply of low quality products, polluted air and water, and an information sector that isn’t completely integrated with manufacturing. China still has a ways to go in industrializing while facing changing international circumstances.
Zhang Monan, Deputy Director of Institute of American and European Studies, CCIEE
Feb 04, 2015
China’s “new normal” economic development is necessary to achieve more valuable GDP growth at a more reasonable speed and sustainability. Key components of these reforms will be decreased growth, higher-level manufacturing, narrowing of rural and urban wealth, capital exports, a consumer middle-class, and new small businesses.
Minxin Pei, Tom and Margot Pritzker ’72 Professor of Government , Claremont McKenna College
Feb 02, 2015
China’s economic slowdown fueled by a real estate bubble, excessive debt, and manufacturing overcapacity could benefit from a change of structure. China’s service sector is now a greater percent of its economy than manufacturing and construction sectors, and with some additional government spending on social services, the economy could see long-term growth.
Yi Xianrong, Researcher, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Jan 28, 2015
China’s central bank will maintain a neutral stance in 2015, in order to stabilize the stock market and provide support to the economy, writes Yi Xianrong.
Jin Bei, Professor and Editor-in-Chief, China Economist
Jan 12, 2015
“New normal” has become a buzzword in China since the second half of 2014. At the APEC CEO Summit on November 10, 2014, President Xi characterized China’s “new normal” as slower growth, economic restructuring and innovation-driven growth.
Yu Yongding, Former President, China Society of World Economics
Jan 06, 2015
Over the past two decades, China’s growth paradigm characterized by investment and driven by exports has run out of steam. A major feature of China’s current economy is overcapacity, especially in the real estate sector. An increase in domestic consumption and infrastructure investment will help continue growth, but the biggest challenge facing China in 2015 is the high corporate debt ratio.
Zhang Monan, Deputy Director of Institute of American and European Studies, CCIEE
Oct 08, 2014
While Zhang Monan acknowledges there are problems facing China’s economy, she points out that a new perspective is key to understanding the future of China as it will take time for analysts to realize the “new normal” of the Chinese growth model.
Yu Yongding, Former President, China Society of World Economics
Apr 09, 2014
Analysts expecting a large crash of the Chinese economy will be disappointed, writes Yu Yongding, as China has, in fact, faced far worse financial difficulties. While the country’s current problems aren’t as severe as those it faced in the late 1990’s or early 2000’s, problems do persist and the margin for error is rapidly reaching its economic limits.
Stephen Roach, Senior Fellow, Yale University
Feb 28, 2014
Stephen Roach states that China's slowing GDP growth is a natural result of a rebalancing of the Chinese economy. However, China's recent economic growth has lead to an unbalanced codependency of China and the US. Thus, Roach believes that the US should adopt a new growth strategy, based on saving and investing in people, infrastructure, and capacity.