Hong Kong has the opportunity to play a unique role in the Sino-American relationship, which would also help it maintain relevance on the world stage. Additionally, the SAR must diversify beyond the Sino-U.S. relationship.

China has boasted the world’s largest population for hundreds of years, but with challenges brought about by mandatory birth limits and rapid economic growth, China is now faced with a population decline that likely will endanger Xi Jinping’s goal of moving China into the ranks of rich countries.

The pressure toward diversifying world currency reserves has been building for a long time. It intensified after the 2008 financial crisis but has escalated even more since 2022. Diversification of currency reserves is expected to be a major topic at the upcoming BRICS Summit, which will likely further intensify this trend.

The pressure toward the diversification of world currency reserves is longstanding. It intensified after 2008, but has escalated since 2022. It is a prime topic in the next BRICS Summit that’s likely to further intensify the trend.

American politicians have a long history of mangling economic-policy debates. Some recognize reality, like when George H.W. Bush characterized so-called supply-side tax cuts as “voodoo economics.” But far too many to distort economic statistics and analysis to score political points – think of “Modern Monetary Theory” or “deficit scolds.”

Will the United States be number three in the new world order? In his forthcoming book, former journalist Hugh Peyman argues that it will: China’s economy has already surpassed that of the US by some measures, and India’s will do the same by mid-century. He also argues that “the Rest” more broadly will pose a growing challenge to the West, which in turn continues to underestimate the challengers.

Despite setbacks, the Chinese government is confident that the long-term positive trajectory of the country’s economy will continue uninterrupted. The effects of macroeconomic policy will continue to emerge, market demand will gradually recover and the supply structure will adjust.

Excessive Sino-American rivalry could be averted if strategists from the U.S. and China make rational assessments about the other side’s capabilities and limits - and can restrain themselves from pouncing on misperceived weaknesses.

If the recent shift from decoupling to de-risking amounts to a game of semantics, it will damage what little strategic mutual trust remains between China and the United States. It will only heighten concerns and raise costs for the business community.

Tianjin’s AMNC 23 conference provides positive news. It sent out strong signals that a revival of global growth is on the way and provided reassurance that the world is not moving into a lost decade.