Zhao Minghao
Professor, Institute of International Studies at Fudan University, and China Forum Expert
Jun 27, 2023
A single visit to China by the U.S. secretary of state will not change the trajectory of relations, and American officials have tried to lower expectations. The foremost test in the years to come will be the prevention of war, which many believe is unavoidable.
Apr 19, 2023
Washington’s repeated provocations — both military and political — have made any recovery of stable relations with China difficult. If the United States fails to comprehend the serious nature of the Taiwan question, war will likely result.
Feb 27, 2023
Beijing’s influence on the Ukraine crisis is limited. Neither Washington nor NATO should nurse unrealistic expectations. Relations between China and Russia should not be viewed through the lens of Ukraine. It’s in everyone’s interest to stop the crisis from escalating into a global confrontation.
Jan 16, 2023
The installation of Kevin McCarthy as speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives portends stormy weather ahead for U.S.-China relations. President Joe Biden will face more congressional policy challenges as ultra-radical Republican exert their power. And if McCarthy follows through on a pledge to visit Taiwan, bilateral ties will be seriously compromised.
Nov 22, 2022
The meeting of presidents Xi Jinping and Joe Biden in Bali may be the first step toward restoring normal bilateral ties between China and the United States. The leaders discussed their respective red lines and agreed to resume talks on several topics. But a trust deficit remains.
Oct 21, 2022
It’s clear that the United States is determined to win its competition with China. Therefore, China should prepare for greater pressure from the U.S. during what the newly released National Security Strategy calls the “decisive decade” ahead.
Sep 19, 2022
The US Senate Committee on Foreign Affairs just endorsed the Taiwan Policy Act of 2022 by 17-5. The legislation will then be submitted to the Senate for review. If the House also proposes and approves a corresponding legislation later, President Biden may sign it into law. Even if the Act won’t sail through Congress, corresponding clauses may still be incorporated into such legislations as the National Defense Authorization Act and put into practice.
Aug 29, 2022
The negative influences of the U.S. House speaker’s Taiwan visit are fermenting and will continue to poison China-U.S. relations. Domestic political winds in the United States are stirring up strategic confusion that will inevitably increase the risk of war.
Aug 01, 2022
The recent conversation offered an opportunity to manage bilateral relations from a strategic height. But because of domestic political strife in the U.S, there will likely be no letup in attempts to amplify “China threat” rhetoric.
Jun 30, 2022
Competition with the United States has become a catalyst for change in the way China deals with countries in its own neighborhood. A sophisticated approach in Asia will be required as China balances all its interactions.